Air Jordan 4 resale prices a year later: the same pairs sell for 10.6% less

The Air Jordan 4 is everywhere in this week's release coverage, from new colorways to another round of the Bred. It is also a shoe many people assume holds its price: buy a good pair, wear it carefully, and it will resell for about what you paid.

Jordan 4 Retro White Cement (2025)Photo: StockXJordan 4 Retro Cave StonePhoto: StockXJordan 4 Retro Rare Air (White Lettering)Photo: StockXJordan 4 Retro Black Cat (2020)Photo: StockX

Over the last year, it did not. We took every Air Jordan 4 listing that sold at least five times in both July 15 to October 12, 2025 and the same dates in 2026, and compared each listing with itself. The typical pair now sells for 10.6% less than it did a year ago, and 272 of 366 listings fell. Over the same dates, the typical sneaker outside the 4 slipped 1.4%.

The 4 fell more than any big Jordan retro

Comparing each listing with itself matters. A single median across all pairs can move just because the mix changed, for example because a cheap new release sold thousands of pairs. Same-listing changes take that out: a 'Cave Stone' is only ever compared with a 'Cave Stone' on the same marketplace.

On that basis the Air Jordan 4's median change is -10.6%, and the 95% interval, the range the true figure most likely sits in, runs from -11.9% to -8.6%. That is clearly further down than the rest of the sneaker market at -1.4% (-1.8% to -1.0%; a rank test puts the gap at q < 0.001, meaning it survives correction for every test behind this post).

The other big Jordan retros fell too, just less: the 5 by 8.2%, the 3 by 8.1%, the 1 by 7.4% and the 6 by 3.6%. The Dunk Low is down 3.2%. The Air Force 1 is the one well-known model that held level, up 1.6% with an interval that touches zero.

Three in four Air Jordan 4 listings sell for less than they did a year ago. Across all other sneakers it is just over half.

That last comparison: 75% of the 4s whose price moved fell (272 of 363), against 53% of other sneaker listings (10,556 of 20,076).

The biggest sellers split

The most-traded pairs tell the story in miniature. The 2025 'White Cement' barely moved. The 'Cave Stone' and the 2025 Undefeated collaboration lost about a fifth.

GOAT agrees on each pair it also carries: 'Rare Air' $208 to $193, 'Cave Stone' $197 to $160, Undefeated $372 to $301. The 'Fear' is the exception at the top of the list, 10% higher on StockX.

The steepest falls are among older, pricier pairs. The 2020 'Black Cat' went from $900 to $590 on StockX (178 sales a year ago, 102 this year), and over the same months the 2025 'Black Cat' retro arrived: our StockX record of it starts on October 10, 2025, and it has sold 6,445 times since July at a median $312. The timing fits a familiar pattern, an older pair getting cheaper once a new version of it is easy to buy, but one pair cannot prove that.

Kids' and women's 4s fell too

The drop is not confined to men's sizes. Kids' listings (GS, PS and TD) are down a median 8.0% (112 listings) and women's listings 15.7% (43 listings). Men's listings are down 10.6% (211). The intervals for the three groups overlap, so the data cannot say one group fell faster than another.

The marketplaces agree on the direction: GOAT listings are down 8.6% (153 listings) and StockX listings 11.3% (213). The rest of the market is flat on GOAT (+0.5%) and down 2.7% on StockX over the same dates, so the 4 is well below its marketplace on each.

What it means if you own a pair, or want one

If you bought an Air Jordan 4 a year ago, the record says a typical pair sells for about a tenth less today, and a few of the heavily-made colorways for a fifth or more. If you are shopping, the same numbers mean many 4s cost less on resale than they did last autumn. The 2025 'White Cement' is the clearest exception among the big sellers.

Why the 4 fell more than most is not something sales data alone can answer. Jordan Brand has released Air Jordan 4s at a steady pace, and more pairs in circulation is a plausible reason for softer prices, but we did not measure supply. These are past sales, not a forecast, and not a reason to buy or sell.

To check your own pair, the Air Jordan 4 page has today's median and the band half of pairs sold in, and the price checker breaks any listing down by size. For one colorway in detail, see what the 2025 'White Cement' sells for by size.