Which sneakers hold up after release? Ranking #2, November 8

Our second Sunday ranking. 591 releases across 27 models, each one's median sale 12 weeks after its launch week against retail. The Kobe 6 Protro 'Dodgers' sold for $265 on a $180 retail; the Jordan 1 Low SE 'Obsidian Suede' sold for $98 on $130. No model sits in the bottom tier this week.

SneakerPulse Research Published November 8, 2026 — 5 min read

Tier board, ranking number 2, which sneakers hold up after release, 27 models and 591 releases, the median sale 12 weeks after launch week against retail, GOAT and StockX, complete days to October 29, 2026. Above retail, 8 models, 111 releases, 9,238 week-12 sales: Mind 001 +126%, Vans Old Skool +65%, Kobe 6 +47%, SHAI 001 +35%, Gel-NYC +11%, Dunk SB +8%, Air Max 1 +7%, Air Max 90 +6%. Around retail, 6 models, 91 releases, 16,619 sales: Puma Speedcat +3%, Gel-1130 0%, Superstar 0%, Samba -1%, Air Jordan 5 -1%, P-6000 -3%. Below retail, 13 models, 361 releases, 33,392 sales: Gazelle -5%, Air Jordan 6 -6%, Air Max Plus -7%, Air Force 1 -9%, New Balance 9060 -12%, Air Jordan 11 -12%, Air Max 95 -13%, Gel-Kayano 14 -15%, Vomero 5 -19%, Air Jordan 3 -20%, Air Jordan 4 -20%, Dunk -23%, Air Jordan 1 -25%. Each photo is the model's median release. Photos StockX and GOAT.

Three months after a shoe comes out, is it worth more or less than its retail price? This is our second weekly answer. A release "holds up" when its median completed sale 12 weeks after its launch week (its busiest week of sales around the drop) is at or above its retail price.

Nike Mind 001 Slide Team Red University Red

This week, the Nike Kobe 6 Protro, the Nike Mind 001 slides, the Vans Old Skool collabs and the Dunk SB hold up; the plain Dunk and the Air Jordan 1 do not. The median Kobe 6 release, the 'Dodgers', sold for $265 in week 12 on a $180 retail (771 sales that week). The median Air Jordan 1 release, the Low SE 'Obsidian Suede', sold for $98 on a $130 retail. Across all 591 releases, the typical one sold 6% under retail, and 43% sold at or above it.

Two rule changes, so read this week as a fresh start

Launch week is now the busiest week near the drop. Last week we counted from a shoe's first week with 20+ sales, which can come weeks before the real release. Now it is the busiest week within eight weeks of that, as on the best-time-to-sell tool.
Releases touching May 22 to July 3, 2026 are left out (138). StockX's record for those weeks is missing many sales (June has about 58% of May's), so a median there leans on GOAT. (Wording corrected November 8, 2026: an earlier version said there were no StockX sales at all; we hold 467,495 then.)

Last week we promised "a week more of complete days". That did not hold: our fully loaded record ends on October 29, one day later than last week, because recent sales are still filling in. So most changes below come from the two rules, not new sales.

The tiers this week

Tier	Models, median week-12 price vs retail	Releases	Sales
Above retail (+5% or more)	Mind 001 +126%, Vans Old Skool +65%, Kobe 6 +47%, SHAI 001 +35%, Gel-NYC +11%, Dunk SB +8%, Air Max 1 +7%, Air Max 90 +6%	111	9,238
Around retail (-5% to +5%)	Puma Speedcat +3%, Gel-1130 0%, Superstar 0%, Samba -1%, Air Jordan 5 -1%, P-6000 -3%	91	16,619
Below retail (-25% to -5%)	Gazelle -5%, Air Jordan 6 -6%, Air Max Plus -7%, Air Force 1 -9%, New Balance 9060 -12%, Air Jordan 11 -12%, Air Max 95 -13%, Gel-Kayano 14 -15%, Vomero 5 -19%, Air Jordan 3 -20%, Air Jordan 4 -20%, Dunk -23%, Air Jordan 1 -25%	361	33,392
Well below retail (under -25%)	none this week	0	0

Dot plot of 27 sneaker models, each release's median sale 12 weeks after launch week against StockX retail, with the model's median and 95% bootstrap interval. Nike Mind 001 +126% (9 releases), Vans Old Skool +65% (7), Nike Kobe 6 +47% (6), Converse SHAI 001 +35% (7), ASICS Gel-NYC +11% (12), Dunk SB +8% (30), Air Max 1 +7% (16), Air Max 90 +6% (24), Puma Speedcat +3% (12), ASICS Gel-1130 0% (15), Superstar 0% (5), Samba -1% (33), Air Jordan 5 -1% (12), Nike P-6000 -3% (14), Gazelle -5% (15), Air Jordan 6 -6% (5), Air Max Plus -7% (13), Air Force 1 -9% (69), New Balance 9060 -12% (23), Air Jordan 11 -12% (8), Air Max 95 -13% (43), ASICS Gel-Kayano 14 -15% (25), Nike Vomero 5 -19% (9), Air Jordan 3 -20% (15), Air Jordan 4 -20% (19), Dunk -23% (44), Air Jordan 1 -25% (73). All releases -6%. GOAT and StockX completed sales, adult sizes, complete days to October 29, 2026. — Each grey dot is one release. The bar is the 95% interval on the model's median; a bar that crosses zero means the model's typical release could sit either side of retail.

Four models clearly beat the rest

These four pass a test against every other ranked release, after correcting for 27 comparisons:

Model	Median release: retail, then week-12 sale	Releases	At or above retail
Nike Mind 001	Slide 'Team Red': $95, then $215 (96 sales)	9	100%
Vans Old Skool	OTW Old Skool 36 'Marshmallow': $130, then $215 (76)	7	86%
Nike Kobe 6	Protro 'Dodgers': $180, then $265 (771)	6	100%
Dunk SB	SB Dunk Low 'Riot Skateshop': $135, then $146 (61)	30	63%

The first three rest on few releases, so their ranges are wide. The SHAI 001, Gel-NYC, Air Max 1 and Air Max 90 are top tier on their medians but too spread out to call.

Two models clearly trail it

Model	Median release: retail, then week-12 sale	Releases	At or above retail
Dunk	Dunk Low 'Khaki Team Red' (Women's): $130, then $100 (114)	44	27%
Air Jordan 1	Jordan 1 Low SE 'Obsidian Suede': $130, then $98 (10)	73	25%

Three in four Air Jordan 1 releases sold under retail in week 12. Its -25.0% sits right on the line between Below and Well below.

What moved since last week

Eight of last week's 28 models changed tier. Up to Above retail: Gel-NYC, Air Max 90. Down to Around: Superstar. Up to Around: P-6000. Well below to Below: Air Jordan 6, Air Jordan 3, Vomero 5, Air Jordan 1. The New Balance 990 has only three scorable releases now, so it is listed, not ranked.

The Air Jordan 3 (the 2025 'Pure Money': $205, then $165 on 539 sales) and the Vomero 5 are no longer called clearly below; none of the Vomero 5's 9 releases reached retail, but nine is too few to call. The Samba loses its "clearly above" call.

What this means if you are deciding whether to pay retail

A tier describes a model's recent releases, not the next one; releases within a model spread widely. Open the model page for its own after-release curve.

Past sales, not a forecast or investment advice. The rows are frozen in data/ranking_2026-11-08.json; last week's issue stays as published at ranking #1.

The tests behind these numbers

The paragraphs and tables above, in full, with their intervals and tests.

These four pass a test against every other ranked release, after correcting for 27 comparisons (q < 0.05):

How we measured this

Methodology: completed GOAT and StockX sales recorded by SneakerPulse. One release is one style code across both marketplaces, adult sizes, footwear only, no cleats. Launch week = the busiest Monday-to-Sunday week (UTC) within eight weeks of the first week with 20+ sales, for shoes whose first sale is no more than 60 days before that first week and on or after December 16, 2024 (GOAT-only shoes from February 24, 2025; listings with a release year before 2024 dropped). Week 12 starts 12 weeks after launch week, needs 5+ sales and must end on or before October 29, 2026 (complete days only). Releases whose week 12, or whose launch-week search window, touches May 22 to July 3, 2026 are left out (138). Retail = StockX's listed retail (catalog fetched November 7); 17 releases with no StockX listing and 1 with no retail are left out. Score = median of a model's releases' week-12 price vs retail (5+ releases to rank; 15 models with fewer are listed in the data file); 95% bootstrap interval; Mann-Whitney of each model against all others, Benjamini-Hochberg across 27 models. Prices are the US view. Rows as recorded November 8, 2026.

Written by SneakerPulse's automated analyst from queries against our GOAT and StockX transaction database. Every figure traces to a query run for this post; charts are generated from the same data, and the method is stated at the end.

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